Orchid Island Valuation

ORC Stock  USD 7.81  0.12  1.56%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Orchid Island Capital holds a recent Real Value of $7.65 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $7.81. Our model determines the value of Orchid Island Capital from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.16, shares outstanding of 183.35 M, and Operating Margin of 0.95 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Orchid Island's valuation include:
Price Book
1.0437
Enterprise Value
10.8 B
Price Sales
7.8237
Forward PE
8.2237
Trailing PE
6.2787
Fairly Valued
Today
7.81
Please note that Orchid Island's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Orchid Island Capital is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Orchid Island's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Orchid Island is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Orchid Stock. However, Orchid Island's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.81 Real  7.65 Target  7.5 Hype  7.81 Naive  7.36
The real value of Orchid Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Orchid Island Capital Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Orchid Island's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Orchid Island's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
7.65
Real Value
8.92
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Orchid Island Capital helps investors to forecast how Orchid stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Orchid Island more accurately as focusing exclusively on Orchid Island's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.320.320.32
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.547.819.08
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.841.001.16
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
6.837.508.33
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Orchid Island's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Orchid Island's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Orchid Island's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Orchid Island we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Orchid Island Cash

760.79 Million

Orchid Island Total Value Analysis

Orchid Island Capital is now projected to have company total value of 10.78 B with market capitalization of 1.4 B, debt of 10.24 B, and cash on hands of 309.33 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Orchid Island fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
10.78 B
1.4 B
10.24 B
309.33 M

Orchid Island Investor Information

About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.04. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orchid Island Capital last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. The entity had 1:5 split on the 31st of August 2022. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Orchid Island's historical financial statements, Orchid Island Capital is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate odds of reporting better financial numbers in March.

Orchid Island Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Orchid Island has an asset utilization ratio of 4.16 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.0416 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Orchid Island Capital is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Orchid Island Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Orchid Island's financial statements, Orchid Island Capital is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate odds of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Orchid Island's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2011-03-31
Previous Quarter
72.1 M
Current Value
103.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
36.3 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, Orchid Island's Pretax Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Operating Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.91, whereas Net Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.29.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.730.86
Fairly Down
Very volatile
For Orchid Island profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Orchid Island Capital to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Orchid Island utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Orchid Island's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Orchid Island over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Orchid Island Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Orchid Island's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Orchid Island's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Orchid Island Capital is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Orchid Island is projected to generate 0.32 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Orchid Island earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Orchid Island EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Orchid Island's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Orchid Island, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Orchid Island Ownership Allocation

Orchid Island owns a total of 183.35 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Orchid Island Capital outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Orchid Island Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 485.24 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 37.66 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 159.03 M.

Orchid Island Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Orchid Island's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Orchid Island and how it compares across the competition.

About Orchid Island Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Orchid Island's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Orchid Island. We calculate exposure to Orchid Island's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Orchid Island's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit464.8 M488 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.33  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.86  0.91 
Net Profit Margin 0.33  0.29 
Gross Profit Margin 0.86  0.73 
Orchid Island's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Orchid Island's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Orchid Island can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Orchid Island represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Orchid, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Orchid Island Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is expected to grow to 1.33, whereas Dividends Paid is projected to grow to (79.1 M). . At present, Orchid Island's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Retained Earnings are projected to grow to (293.1 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-83.3 M-79.1 M
Dividend Yield 0.20  0.14 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.16  1.10 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.83  1.33 
There are various types of dividends Orchid Island can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Orchid shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Orchid Island Capital directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Orchid pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Orchid Island by the value of the dividends paid out.

Orchid Island Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y7.938
Forward Price Earnings8.2237

Orchid Island Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Orchid Island Capital and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Orchid we look at many different elements of the entity such as Orchid's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Orchid Island, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Orchid Island's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Orchid Island's worth.

Complementary Tools for Orchid Stock analysis

When running Orchid Island's price analysis, check to measure Orchid Island's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orchid Island is operating at the current time. Most of Orchid Island's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orchid Island's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orchid Island's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orchid Island to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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